Starting Grid 2026 Dutch Formula 1 Grand Prix
Event: Dutch Grand Prix
Track: Circuit Zandvoort
Warm-up lap starts at: 15:00 Local | 15:00 CET | 14:00 UK | 06:00 LA | 22:00 Tokyo
Lando Norris will start the final Dutch Grand Prix at Zandvoort from pole position after beating George Russell by 0.102s in qualifying. Championship leader Kimi Antonelli lines up third alongside Oscar Piastri, while Lewis Hamilton and Charles Leclerc share the third row.
Max Verstappen faces a far tougher task in his final home Grand Prix, starting only seventh ahead of stand-in Red Bull team-mate Liam Lawson. With every Dutch Grand Prix since Formula 1 returned to Zandvoort having been won from pole, Norris holds a crucial advantage, but Mercedes' stronger race pace in the Sprint means Russell and Antonelli remain serious threats from directly behind.
Grid 2026 Dutch F1 GP
| Pos | No | Driver | Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Laps |
| 1 | 1 | Lando Norris | McLaren | 1:12.695 | 1:11.628 | 1:11.163 | 21 |
| 2 | 63 | George Russell | Mercedes | 1:12.924 | 1:11.959 | 1:11.265 | 20 |
| 3 | 12 | Kimi Antonelli | Mercedes | 1:13.022 | 1:11.915 | 1:11.296 | 21 |
| 4 | 81 | Oscar Piastri | McLaren | 1:12.610 | 1:11.641 | 1:11.305 | 21 |
| 5 | 44 | Lewis Hamilton | Ferrari | 1:12.673 | 1:11.970 | 1:11.494 | 25 |
| 6 | 16 | Charles Leclerc | Ferrari | 1:13.064 | 1:11.910 | 1:11.558 | 23 |
| 7 | 3 | Max Verstappen | Red Bull | 1:13.290 | 1:11.874 | 1:11.618 | 22 |
| 8 | 30 | Liam Lawson | Red Bull | 1:13.392 | 1:12.301 | 1:11.733 | 25 |
| 9 | 5 | Gabriel Bortoleto | Audi | 1:13.142 | 1:12.433 | 1:12.079 | 22 |
| 10 | 41 | Arvid Lindblad | Racing Bulls | 1:13.074 | 1:12.525 | 1:12.185 | 22 |
| 11 | 10 | Pierre Gasly | Alpine | 1:13.115 | 1:12.616 | 14 | |
| 12 | 22 | Yuki Tsunoda | Racing Bulls | 1:13.085 | 1:12.627 | 15 | |
| 13 | 27 | Nico Hülkenberg | Audi | 1:13.188 | 1:12.797 | 19 | |
| 14 | 43 | Franco Colapinto | Alpine | 1:13.322 | 1:12.800 | 13 | |
| 15 | 31 | Esteban Ocon | Haas | 1:13.544 | 1:13.137 | 17 | |
| 16 | 23 | Alex Albon | Williams | 1:13.552 | 1:13.182 | 16 | |
| 17 | 55 | Carlos Sainz | Williams | 1:13.574 | 10 | ||
| 18 | 14 | Fernando Alonso | Aston Martin | 1:13.650 | 10 | ||
| 19 | 18 | Lance Stroll | Aston Martin | 1:13.818 | 10 | ||
| 20 | 87 | Oliver Bearman | Haas | 1:13.826 | 11 | ||
| 21 | 77 | Valtteri Bottas | Cadillac | 1:14.371 | 10 | ||
| PL | 11 | Sergio Pérez | Cadillac | 1:14.600 | 10 |
What's Your Podium Prediction for upcoming F1 Grand Prix?
São Paulo Grand PrixSao Paulo · round 20 of 23The Predictor F1-Fansite data model
Championship form and recent form. The starting grid joins in after qualifying, then the chances update.
Kimi AntonelliMercedes · #1235%to win
Max VerstappenRed Bull · #316%to win
Lewis HamiltonFerrari · #4412%to winWho's on the podium?
Pick your top 3, then drag the number (or use the arrows) to set the order. You can edit until the race starts.
Scoring: 3 pts for a driver in the exact spot, 1 pt for the right driver in the wrong spot. A perfect podium earns the Oracle badge.
A free account locks it in. We keep your picks while you sign up.
Everyone's picks stay hidden until lights out, so no one can copy.
All 22 drivers: win, podium and points chances
| # | Driver | Win | Podium | Points | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kimi AntonelliMercedes | 35% | 78% | 100% | P1 in the championship · 4 podiums in the last 5 |
| 2 | Max VerstappenRed Bull | 16% | 48% | 99% | P2 in the championship · 5 podiums in the last 5 |
| 3 | Lewis HamiltonFerrari | 12% | 39% | 98% | P3 in the championship · 2 podiums in the last 5 |
| 4 | Charles LeclercFerrari | 11% | 38% | 98% | P5 in the championship · 2 podiums in the last 5 |
| 5 | George RussellMercedes | 6.5% | 23% | 92% | P4 in the championship · 1 podium in the last 5 |
| 6 | Lando NorrisMcLaren | 5.4% | 20% | 88% | P6 in the championship · no podium in the last 5, 1 DNF |
| 7 | Oscar PiastriMcLaren | 3.5% | 13% | 74% | P7 in the championship · no podium in the last 5 |
| 8 | Isack HadjarRed Bull | 2.3% | 8.8% | 63% | P8 in the championship · 1 podium in the last 5 |
| 9 | Liam LawsonRacing Bulls | 1.4% | 6.3% | 50% | P9 in the championship · no podium in the last 5 |
| 10 | Pierre GaslyAlpine | 1.0% | 3.2% | 27% | P10 in the championship · no podium in the last 5, 1 DNF |
| 11 | Nico HülkenbergAudi | 0.9% | 3.0% | 26% | P14 in the championship · no podium in the last 5 |
| 12 | Arvid LindbladRacing Bulls | 0.7% | 3.0% | 27% | P11 in the championship · no podium in the last 5, 1 DNF |
| 13 | Carlos SainzWilliams | 0.5% | 1.9% | 18% | P17 in the championship · no podium in the last 5 |
| 14 | Oliver BearmanHaas | 0.5% | 2.1% | 20% | P13 in the championship · no podium in the last 5, 2 DNFs |
| 15 | Fernando AlonsoAston Martin | 0.5% | 1.9% | 16% | P16 in the championship · no podium in the last 5, 2 DNFs |
| 16 | Franco ColapintoAlpine | 0.4% | 1.9% | 19% | P12 in the championship · no podium in the last 5, 3 DNFs |
| 17 | Gabriel BortoletoAudi | 0.4% | 1.6% | 17% | P15 in the championship · no podium in the last 5, 1 DNF |
| 18 | Ryo HirakawaHaas | 0.4% | 1.7% | 17% | P24 in the championship · no podium in the last 1 |
| 19 | Alex AlbonWilliams | 0.4% | 1.3% | 13% | P19 in the championship · no podium in the last 5, 3 DNFs |
| 20 | Lance StrollAston Martin | 0.4% | 1.6% | 14% | P23 in the championship · no podium in the last 5, 3 DNFs |
| 21 | Sergio PérezCadillac | 0.4% | 1.4% | 13% | P21 in the championship · no podium in the last 5 |
| 22 | Valtteri BottasCadillac | 0.3% | 1.0% | 11% | P22 in the championship · no podium in the last 5, 3 DNFs |
Podium = chance of a top-three finish, Points = chance of a top-ten. Rounded; the win column adds up to 100%.
Season standings · 2026
How the Predictor works
No bookmakers, no odds: every number comes from the F1-Fansite results database. Each driver gets a strength score from the factors below; the race is then simulated 10,000 times and we count how often each driver wins, finishes on the podium or scores points. It does not know about weather or reliability, and it says so. Grid penalties count as soon as the official starting grid is in.
Before qualifying the model is honest about the odds: three or four candidates share most of the chance. After qualifying the grid takes over and the call sharpens.
Calibration this season: when it said 8%, it happened 5% of the time; when it said 16%, it happened 6% of the time.
✅ Don't forget to check out our 2026 Dutch F1 Grand Prix preview info.
4 F1 Fan comments on “Starting Grid 2026 Dutch Formula 1 Grand Prix”
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I can't edit my prediction. I haven't tried to do this before as I expected you would not be able to change it once FP1 starts.
Never mind - it seems to have worked now.
Lando's win to lose.
I'm not so sure. Both McLarens looked vulnerable in the sprint, which I feel might suggest an issue with the car. It's hard to pass, but Leclerc managed it. He's further back now. Not sure about Russell's ability to overtake and Antonelli will have to get past Russell first before he can get to Lando. I'm still hopeful about a Lando win, but not entirely confident or sure he has the car.