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Event: Italian Grand Prix
Track: Monza Circuit

Formation lap starts at: 15:00 Local | 15:00 CEST | 14:00 UK | 06:00 LA | 22:00 Tokyo

Pierre Gasly will start the 2026 Italian Grand Prix from pole position after producing the lap of his career at Monza, while a series of post-qualifying penalties has significantly reshuffled the grid behind him.

The Alpine driver beat George Russell by just 0.060s in Q3 to secure the first Formula 1 pole position of his career. Russell joins him on the front row after Mercedes had looked like the team to beat throughout much of the weekend.

Oscar Piastri originally qualified third for McLaren, but the Australian has received a three-place grid penalty for impeding Liam Lawson at Turn 2 during Q2. The FIA stewards accepted that Piastri had few options once the situation developed, but ruled that Lawson had nevertheless been unnecessarily impeded and imposed the standard three-place penalty.

That penalty promotes Charles Leclerc, Lewis Hamilton and Max Verstappen ahead of Piastri in the starting order, giving Ferrari an even stronger position for its home Grand Prix.

The grid is further complicated by major power unit penalties. Championship leader Kimi Antonelli qualified seventh but has accumulated enough power unit penalties to be sent to the back of the grid, while Alex Albon is also facing a back-of-the-grid start following his own power unit changes.

Ferrari came remarkably close to missing Q3 altogether. Leclerc survived Q2 by only 0.008s, while Hamilton scraped through by an extraordinary 0.001s over Gabriel Bortoleto. Both recovered strongly in Q3, and Piastri's subsequent penalty has now improved their starting positions further.

Gasly, meanwhile, needed no such escape. Alpine had genuine pace throughout Saturday, with Franco Colapinto also reaching Q3, and the Frenchman converted that speed into a superb pole lap at the same circuit where he scored his maiden Formula 1 victory.

With Gasly on pole, Russell alongside him, Piastri dropping three places and multiple power unit penalties reshuffling the field further back, Sunday's grid looks considerably different from the raw qualifying classification.

Below you can find the final starting grid for the 2026 Italian Formula 1 Grand Prix at Monza, including the confirmed post-qualifying and power unit penalties.

F1 Starting Grid 2026 Italian GP

PosNoDriverTeamLap TimePole gap
110Pierre GaslyAlpine1:21,786
263George RussellMercedes1:21,846+0,060s
316Charles LeclercFerrari1:22,004+0,218s
444Lewis HamiltonFerrari1:22,011+0,225s
53Max VerstappenRed Bull1:22,070+0,284s
681Oscar PiastriMcLaren1:21,966+0,180s
743Franco ColapintoAlpine1:22,220+0,434s
81Lando NorrisMcLaren1:22,256+0,470s
941Arvid LindbladRacing Bulls1:22,286+0,500s
105Gabriel BortoletoAudi1:22,517+0,731s
1187Oliver BearmanHaas1:22,756+0,970s
1227Nico HülkenbergAudi1:22,779+0,993s
1355Carlos SainzWilliams1:23,453+1,667s
1431Esteban OconHaas1:23,466+1,680s
1522Yuki TsunodaRacing Bulls1:23,755+1,969s
1677Valtteri BottasCadillac1:24,364+2,578s
1711Sergio PérezCadillac1:24,595+2,809s
1818Lance StrollAston Martin1:25,222+3,436s
1912*Kimi AntonelliMercedes1:22,093+0,307s
2023*Alex AlbonWilliams1:24,356+2,570s
PL14*Fernando AlonsoAston Martin1:25,150+3,364s
PL30*Liam LawsonRed Bull1:22,821+1,035s

*Penalties:

  • Kimi Antonelli, Mercedes W17 #12 - 30 place grid penalty, due to using additional power unit elements.
  • Alex Albon, William FW48 #23 - 20 place grid penalty, due to using additional power unit elements.
  • Liam Lawson, Red Bull RB22 #30 - 35 place grid penalty, due to using additional power unit elements.
  • Liam Lawson, Red Bull RB22 #30 - Required to start from the pit lane, due to car modified whilst under Parc Fermé conditions.
  • Oscar Piastri, McLaren MCL40 #81 - 3 place grid penalty, due to impeding another driver
  • Fernando Alonso, Aston Martin AMR26 #14 - Required to start from the pit lane, due to  car modified whilst under Parc Fermé conditions and additional power unit elements have been used

What's Your Podium Prediction for the upcoming F1 Grand Prix?

2026 Singapore F1 GPSingapore Grand PrixSingapore · round 17 of 23

The Predictor F1-Fansite data model

Championship form and recent form. The starting grid joins in after qualifying, then the chances update.

1Kimi AntonelliKimi AntonelliMercedes · #1240%to win
2George RussellGeorge RussellMercedes · #6312%to win
3Max VerstappenMax VerstappenRed Bull · #38.2%to win

Beat the PredictorHow it works

Predict the podium

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All 22 drivers: win, podium and points chances
#DriverWinPodiumPointsWhy
1Kimi AntonelliMercedes40%82%100%P1 in the championship · 4 podiums in the last 5
2George RussellMercedes12%41%97%P2 in the championship · 3 podiums in the last 5
3Max VerstappenRed Bull8.2%30%93%P5 in the championship · 4 podiums in the last 5, 1 DNF
4Lewis HamiltonFerrari8.2%29%93%P3 in the championship · 1 podium in the last 5, 1 DNF
5Charles LeclercFerrari7.2%26%90%P4 in the championship · no podium in the last 5, 1 DNF
6Lando NorrisMcLaren6.7%24%89%P6 in the championship · 2 podiums in the last 5, 1 DNF
7Isack HadjarRed Bull3.9%14%72%P8 in the championship · 1 podium in the last 5
8Oscar PiastriMcLaren3.6%14%72%P7 in the championship · no podium in the last 5
9Liam LawsonRacing Bulls1.8%6.9%44%P9 in the championship · no podium in the last 5
10Arvid LindbladRacing Bulls1.5%5.5%38%P11 in the championship · no podium in the last 5
11Pierre GaslyAlpine0.9%3.7%26%P10 in the championship · no podium in the last 5, 1 DNF
12Nico HülkenbergAudi0.9%3.3%25%P16 in the championship · no podium in the last 5
13Franco ColapintoAlpine0.8%3.1%24%P12 in the championship · no podium in the last 5, 1 DNF
14Oliver BearmanHaas0.7%2.5%20%P13 in the championship · no podium in the last 5, 1 DNF
15Esteban OconHaas0.7%2.5%19%P18 in the championship · no podium in the last 5, 1 DNF
16Gabriel BortoletoAudi0.6%2.5%18%P14 in the championship · no podium in the last 5
17Carlos SainzWilliams0.5%2.1%16%P17 in the championship · no podium in the last 5, 1 DNF
18Fernando AlonsoAston Martin0.5%2.1%17%P15 in the championship · no podium in the last 5, 2 DNFs
19Sergio PérezCadillac0.4%1.6%13%P21 in the championship · no podium in the last 5, 1 DNF
20Alex AlbonWilliams0.4%1.4%12%P19 in the championship · no podium in the last 5, 2 DNFs
21Lance StrollAston Martin0.3%1.3%11%P23 in the championship · no podium in the last 5, 4 DNFs
22Valtteri BottasCadillac0.3%1.4%11%P22 in the championship · no podium in the last 5, 2 DNFs

Podium = chance of a top-three finish, Points = chance of a top-ten. Rounded; the win column adds up to 100%.

Season standings · 2026

2ShroppyflyShroppyfly28 pts
6yheeyhee10 pts
7Juandiez10 pts
8CasparovicCasparovic10 pts
9Kasra8 pts
10ipeluri7 pts
11bearman's7 pts
13Rahmi Can6 pts
14Killabee6 pts
15Carlo6 pts
16MKLMKL6 pts
17Sudhjd6 pts
18Tori Green6 pts

How the Predictor works

No bookmakers, no odds: every number comes from the F1-Fansite results database. Each driver gets a strength score from the factors below; the race is then simulated 10,000 times and we count how often each driver wins, finishes on the podium or scores points. It does not know about weather or reliability, and it says so. Grid penalties count as soon as the official starting grid is in.

60%Championship formPoints this season, relative to the leader.
40%Recent formThe last five finishes; a DNF counts as P20.
0%Starting gridHow often each grid slot has won over the last eight seasons. Joins after qualifying.

Before qualifying the model is honest about the odds: three or four candidates share most of the chance. After qualifying the grid takes over and the call sharpens.

11/16winners called
1.9/3podium drivers per race
2exact podiums
64prediction points

Calibration this season: when it said 7%, it happened 0% of the time; when it said 15%, it happened 8% of the time.

✅ Don't forget to check out our 2026 Italian F1 Grand Prix preview info.

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Current Drivers Standings

After round 16 of 23 · Bahrain GP
Pos.F1 DriversPoints
1Kimi AntonelliKimi AntonelliMercedes · #12320
2George RussellGeorge RussellMercedes · #63236−84
3Lewis HamiltonLewis HamiltonFerrari · #44214−22
2026 F1 Drivers' Standings Championship

Current Teams Standings

After round 16 of 23 · Bahrain GP
Pos.F1 TeamsPoints
1MercedesMercedes W17556
2FerrariFerrari SF-26405−151
3McLarenMcLaren MCL40316−89
2026 F1 Constructors Standings 2026 Championship

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